In 1972, a book was released that showed how humanity would collapse in the middle of the 21st century. What has been accomplished 100 years after its launch?
Currently, the global warming of the Planet is a fact. Leaving aside the debate about whether it is a completely natural process or if it is something that has only caused the mark of the human being, the truth is that there is no doubt that the activity of our species has contributed to an acceleration of its effects. Among the reasons behind this phenomenon, it is undoubtedly worth mentioning uncontrolled and exponential population growth.
Is the Earth a space that has physical limits for human beings or can we keep developing more and more in the future? A book written 50 years ago warned of what was to come and, after this time, the truth is that some of the issues raised have become reality. The book The Limits of Growth It appeared in 1972 and the creators were right, in their time, in many of their predictions. Are we falling apart as humanity? Is there still a solution for the current problem?
Let’s see what were some of the keys that most attracted the attention of this controversial book, why serves to explain how we are on alert for several decades and, above all, what we can do in the coming years with the aim of ‘furniture saving’. Half a century has passed since its publication and, unsurprisingly, we now read some of its pages with disbelief.
The book that warned about what would happen after a few years
The truth is, this book is not something we found covered in dust on a shelf. Nothing is further from reality! Millions of copies have been sold and undoubtedly has been translated into over thirty languages. What can we learn from the Club of Rome, an international organization of intellectuals founded in 1968?
The first thing that must be specified is that the analysis was based on computational modeling, which was supported by the punch cards introduced by MIT at the time. Incorporating variables such as population growth, pollution or the production of consumer goods concluded that by the middle of the 21st century there would be a collapse of humanity. It is important to note that these calculations did not take into account, for example, the development of partial digitization of the economy.
In the study carried out in the second half of the 20th century, it was argued that the human being was performing an excessive consumption of resources, so the problem would accelerate over the years. In the same way, it was verified how a great part of the polluting emissions was the exclusive responsibility of the United States, which defined that one of the main problems was the way in which consumption was managed and on the ground a problem related to the size of the population.
To commemorate the 50th anniversary of the book’s launch, Carlos Alvarez Pereira, Vice President of the Club of Rome, gave an interview to Wired Media. in the conversation stated that there have been major changes in terms of production and, of course, intensive work is being done on the adoption of renewable energies. Even so, he reiterated that the measures taken are still insufficient. In fact, he released a book that completes the investigation with an important update for modern times.